How Does Market Timer Work?
Market Timer is an MSExcel(tm) spreadsheet that can be easily updated by our clients (with publicaly available data) to provide actionable insights into herding activity (crowd behavior) in the market. The correlations, data relationships and formulas to extract the signals in Market Timer have been honed over the past 25 years, so this is not a new tool. The original developer of the spreadsheet discovered that there was a high, positive correlation between certain internal market data and daily closing prices of the DOW Industrial Average and the S&P500. This correlation provided key insights into buying and selling activity in the market which we attribute to the behavior of the self-interest of crowds (herding). When we saw the data we realized it is too much of a coincidence that the market would eventually rise when we saw a period of accumulation (positive numbers) in the MTSD (i.e. positive herding activity/buying) and low MTVol- and the market would decline in a significant way for a long period of time when we saw distribution (negative numbers) in the MTSD and high MTVol. The ebb and flow of the MTSD and the shift from buying to selling and selling to buying visible in the BoP appeared to one of our peers to simulate "herding" algorithm activity by market participants. We know that, at the very least, participants in the stock market herd and there is some excellent research on herding in the financial markets (see footnotes).
The Market Timer spreadsheet digs deep into five core internal market data inputs. Using only the most core fundamental data provides powerful insights. At one time in the spreadsheets' development there were dozens of data points used in the calculations. Over time, it was discovered which data points were the most critical, most efficient and most effective in generating actionable signals that correlated to movement of the herd (predicative values). The data used today in Market Timer is simple for our clients to update - just five pieces of data, available for free from many sources, are required daily to update the spreadsheet and generate the MT signals. You can also just download the updated spreadsheet each day from us in the download area after the market close. Those five data points are examined from every possible angle: Correlations & relationships are examined in the first layer of data and create subsets of data giving us a powerful prediction algorithm.
What Is the Best Way To Profit From Market Timer?
The best way to profit from Market Timer is to identify where the market herd is heading and then positioning yourself to go long or short the major market index derivative of your choice (S&P500, DOW30 or Nasdaq Composite). We have four model portfolios with different time horizons, from short (next day) to long-term (6-month to 1 year or more) with signals published on a regular schedule (see below).
Are The Market Timer Signals Generated Automatically?
The MT Supply/Demand Index (MTSD), MT Volatility Index (MTVol including the new Pipeline columns) and the Bullish and Bearish Balance of Power (BoP) and Trend/Strength (T/S) columns and signals are calculated automatically once the data is entered in your spreadsheet. There are only five cells that need input after the market closes. It's easy, and simple. A quick look will tell you what the herd is going to do over the next few days/weeks by watching these three signals.
Is Market Timer Reliable?
Market Timer is the most accurate major market index timing tool in existence and we welcome the opportunity to prove it to you. There is nothing else like it and there is no other tool that is more accurate for trading the big market swings (positions that last from a day, to few days to a month or more).
Can I Update the Spreadsheet On My Own?
Yes. In fact you will be able to update and input the data required yourself to keep the spreadsheet current as long as you are a subcriber. You may also download the current spreadsheet with market closing data, values, Notes, and Signal each evening in the Client Portal area.
DAILY ANALYSIS INCLUDED: Each trading day we upload the spreadsheet with current signals and notes but we also include our analysis in the Client Portal so you have an edge in the market the next trading day.
What Is Included With A Market Timer Subscription?
You will receive a copy of our Historic MT Data Spreadsheet with MTVol (+Pipeline), MTSD, BoP and short-term T/S signals from December 2008 to December 2015 (Dow/S&P). You'll be able to study and review the MT Signals during this time to get a better understanding of the power of Market Timer. You'll also receive the current MT Spreadsheet with Notes and Signals/Trend covering January 2016 thru today's close. In addition, you'll receive instructions on how to update the spreadsheet yourself, if you choose to. Finally, you'll receive our weekly, in-depth newsletter, Market Timer Insights. MTI provides a unique market persepctive based on MT signals and data. You'll never wonder again "why" the maket is going up or down or sideways... you'll know.
Do You Send Trade Alerts?
Our job is to provide unbiased analysis of market herding activity. We leave the trading to you. Market Timer works better than any other swing trading and timing tool anywhere but there are several reasons why we do not provide alerts or trade recommendations. First, we do not want to change or affect the market by creating alerts on a specific instrument that would change the pricing of that instrument. There are many ways to take advantage of Market Timer signals and since we do not provide individual investment advice or know the financial situation of each of our clients we do not send trade alerts recommending specific trades, investments, instruments, prices to buy/sell, etc. Second, the instruments you use depends on your objectives, experience, methods and preferences. Some clients buy the entire index, some use index options, some use futures, others use a combination of the two. Included with each weekly MTI newsletter are updated signals and potential points gained or lost by Market Timer in our Model Portfolio section so you can track our accuracy.
What Are Your Timing Models and When Are They Updated?
We have four model portfolios based on Market Timer signals:
• Next Day (short-term signals - 'up', 'down' or 'neutral' - updated daily by 9PM for the next trading day)
• Weekly BIAS (current trading week signal)
• Swing Trade Algorithm (intermediate-term, 2-6 weeks trades, updated daily in the spreadsheets automatically)
• Model Portfolio (long-term, 6-12 months+ trades, updated weekly in the market Timer Insights newsletter) .
Simply follow our model portfolios in the MTI newsletter and you be the judge.
What is Your Refund Policy?
If for any reason you are not completely happy, super-satisfied and very excited with the accuracy or performance of Market Timer we will refund the un-used portion of your subscription without question.
What Controls Over My Billing Do I Have Available?
Our Client Portal allows you to self-manage your credit card details by updating them at any time and other subscription options including the ability to 'pause' or 'stop auto-renew' of your subcription with the click of a button. You can view the options available on our Client Portal here.
Is My Personal and Credit Card Data Safe?
We do not store your credit card or personal information on our website. We use TLS 1.2 secure (advanced SSL) connections so that your credit card or other personal data is safe at all times. We use industry leader Stripe.com exclusively for our payment processing. You can view our complete Data Collection and Privacy Policies here.
Are There Any Other Costs I Should Know About?
No. Once you subscribe to Market Timer you will not need to subscribe to any other service to use it.
